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Beginning of year 2000. Sites B2C give their first signs of
exhaustion. One realizes that the investments marketing and exacerbated
competition push back more and more far the first benefit. The investors,
disabled, seek new subjects of investment. They discover the B2B then the
electronic trade between companies! The first advertisements are done in
February. At the end of February/at the beginning of March appears and
explodes at once the concept of “Virtual Place of Market” (PDMV). The
studies flower during three weeks affirming that from here at three years,
80% of the electronic trade would be made between companies, and that on
these 80%, more half viendrat of these same PDMV. Assessments? Ten
advertisements of opening, projects, collaborations per week for two
months. Today? One envisages right now that the majority of the PDMV will
close (and close already) before even as to have really existed, than
hardly two will survive by industry, than they will be under the
monitoring of the authorities of regulation to avoid the monopolistic
situations.
Today? One speaks about P2P (Peer to Peer), of G2C (Government to
Citizen), of B2X (Business to Exchange).
The goal of this fast and surface overflight of the various movements of
mode? Double: “to denounce”, show the accelerated speed with which they
follow one another, and to relativize their impacts at the same time.
One will not speak about the lack of retreat of the investors, the lack of
experience and the inconsistency of certain contractors. These behaviors
form part, in a certain manner, total”, “systemic” movement a “.
I.e.? Internet - new media in general - are still far from their maturity
(technological, social, economic). What we see in this moment, it is a
primitive soup species, in which various forms of life follow one another
at unrestrained intervals. Nature had, there are million years, fact of
many genetic experiments, multiplying the attempts. Since these “initial
times”, it is baited to select the most adapted and adaptable species,
most robust. The network is today in same logic. One tests. One tries. One
tests. If one fails? It does not matter, one goes retenter another thing,
different, a little further, with the same teams, the experiment moreover,
the counterexamples at the head.
Did the ground separate from the sea? The mobile network separates from
the fixed network, television becomes interactive when the computer makes
it possible to look at video in real time. Did the seismic activity make
tremble the hardly appeared continents? The bankruptcies make break down
the stock exchange prices which had so quickly flown away.
It is probable that this movement of creation of models still accelerates
during a few months (one does not dare to say a few years, so much the
forecasts are hazardous in the field). It is probable that 90% of the
start-ups created today disappear. It is certain that the companies of
tomorrow result (will be) from the wind of madness in progress. To finish
on a quotation, one will choose Andy Grove, former president d' Intel: “It
is a set of insane, but most insane are those which do not play”!